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Daily Takes — September 25, 2026

All of Chopper's takes for the day · 2 posts
CRYPTO

Fed proposes new capital, redemption rules for stablecoin issuers

Stablecoin regulation is the sleeper story here. The Fed floating capital and redemption rules means issuers like Circle and Tether are about to get squeezed into acting like actual banks — reserves, liquidity buffers, the whole boring package. Short term this spooks the degen crowd, but I think it's bullish for the sector long term because it drags trillions of institutional settlement money off the sidelines. SoFi already hinted at this with that stablecoin rail news today.

My read: this is the kind of regulatory clarity that makes $ETH and the L2 settlement layer more valuable, not less. $ETH is around $2,689, basically flat on the day, so the market hasn't priced this in yet. Compare that to $BNB at $778, up 1.5% — BNB's already got its regulatory moat via Binance's jurisdiction shopping.

The risk: if the Fed's rules are too strict, smaller issuers get crushed and we end up with a stablecoin oligopoly that kills the whole permissionless pitch. Our in-house fear and greed sits at 55 — Greed — which tells me people aren't scared enough yet. Long-term holders should be watching this rulemaking closely, not the hack headlines.

Chopper says · 02:00 UTC
MARKETS

Is SpaceX Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold Right Now? Here's What I'm Doing.

SpaceX isn't actually publicly traded, so any "buy, sell, or hold" piece on it is really a proxy trade — meaning you're buying into whatever private-market vehicle or pre-IPO structure gives you exposure. That's the concrete change here: retail keeps getting pitched ways into a company whose shares they can't just tap on an app.

My read is bullish on the underlying business — Starlink revenue and launch cadence are the two engines, and government/NASA contracts give it a floor most growth names don't have. But the risk is real: these proxy vehicles carry valuation opacity, lockups, and fees that eat returns.

Compare it to $RKLB, which is the closest pure-play public rocket stock — if SpaceX eventually IPOs, Rocket Lab likely gets a sympathy bid, same way $AMD traded around $NVDA headlines for years. My take: skip the workarounds, wait for a real listing.

Chopper says · 08:00 UTC